Triangulated using Redfin estimate ($410,982), Glendale AZ Zillow avg ($399,723), Heart of Glendale median ($429K), and Movoto median list ($484,950). Adjusted for 1970 build age and neighborhood strength. Heart of Glendale showed 43% YoY gain while broader AZ Glendale is -3.7%. ARV anchored at $415K represents a conservative-to-fair estimate for a fully renovated property.
📈Glendale AZ Market — Q1 2026
Glendale AZ Avg Home Value
$399,723
Heart of Glendale Median
$429,000
Broad Glendale YoY Change
-3.7%
Heart of Glendale YoY Change
+43%
Market Note
Mixed — submarket matters
🔨Rehab Estimate
Light Rehab (cosmetic, $25/sqft)
~$47,000
Medium Rehab ($40/sqft)
~$75,000
Full Rehab ($55/sqft)
~$103,000
Note
Arizona rehab costs run $25–55/sqft depending on scope. 1970 build may need electrical, plumbing, HVAC updates in addition to cosmetics. MLS Scanner default ($70/sqft) uses San Diego pricing — adjusted above for Phoenix metro rates.
💰Investor Scenarios
Fix & Flip (Light)
~$88K–$108K
Estimated net profit
ARV$415,000
Target Purchase$260K–$280K
Rehab (cosmetic, $25/sqft)~$47,000
Holding & Closing (~6 mo)~$20,000
Est. Net Profit~$88K–$108K
Fix & Flip (Medium)
~$55K–$80K
Estimated net profit
ARV$415,000
Target Purchase$270K–$290K
Rehab (medium, $40/sqft)~$75,000
Holding & Closing (~6 mo)~$20,000
Est. Net Profit~$55K–$80K
Buy & Hold / Rental
Solid
Phoenix metro rental market
Est. Rent (3br/2ba Glendale)$1,700–$2,100/mo
Gross Annual (conservative)~$24,000/yr
Gross Yield @ $280K purchase~8.6%
Phoenix Metro Vacancy~5% — healthy
⚠️Risk Assessment
Broad Glendale Down 3.7% YoYBroader Glendale market is softening slightly. However the Heart of Glendale submarket is up 43% — location within Glendale matters significantly.
1970 Build — Hidden CostsOriginal plumbing, electrical, and HVAC may need updating. Budget for full systems inspection before offering.
Phoenix Metro Rental Demand — StrongPhoenix remains a top rental market. Buy-and-hold at right acquisition price has strong fundamentals.
Off-Market — Negotiation OpportunityNo active listing means more room to negotiate. No competing offers in play.
Bottom Line
Solid Phoenix metro deal at the right price. ARV of $415K supported by multiple sources. The 1970 build age requires careful inspection — budget for systems. Strong fix-and-flip numbers at $260K–$280K acquisition, or a compelling rental play at 8%+ yield. Phoenix fundamentals are strong despite the broader Glendale softness.
< $270KIdeal flip
< $285KHold target
$415KARV est.
Data sourced from Redfin, Zillow, MLS Scanner (Trestle API), and AI market research. Medium confidence — limited direct comps. Not a licensed appraisal. Verify all figures with a licensed Arizona real estate professional before any investment decision.
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